Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.035869 0.038707 0.041683 0.045041 0.048731 0.052667 0.057191
2025-04-13 0.031644 0.035708 0.040206 0.045571 0.051823 0.058907 0.067585
2025-04-20 0.028523 0.033271 0.038741 0.045550 0.053853 0.063720 0.076441
2025-04-27 0.026518 0.031779 0.038042 0.046117 0.056349 0.069012 0.086077
2025-05-04 0.024567 0.030103 0.036876 0.045868 0.057637 0.072721 0.093846
2025-05-11 0.022994 0.028727 0.035911 0.045701 0.058891 0.076335 0.101643
2025-05-18 0.021617 0.027474 0.034971 0.045429 0.059893 0.079580 0.109087
2025-05-25 0.020484 0.026446 0.034227 0.045318 0.061037 0.083017 0.116996
2025-06-01 0.019283 0.025241 0.033151 0.044645 0.061294 0.085148 0.123079
2025-06-08 0.018143 0.024046 0.032006 0.043775 0.061169 0.086656 0.128261
2025-06-15 0.017258 0.023148 0.031211 0.043336 0.061609 0.088984 0.134853
2025-06-22 0.016466 0.022335 0.030483 0.042934 0.062051 0.091304 0.141567
2025-06-29 0.015584 0.021357 0.029479 0.042074 0.061752 0.092467 0.146517
2025-07-06 0.015153 0.021007 0.029363 0.042539 0.063531 0.097048 0.157662
2025-07-13 0.014619 0.020478 0.028950 0.042514 0.064513 0.100377 0.166897
2025-07-20 0.014269 0.020201 0.028896 0.043035 0.066397 0.105319 0.179468
2025-07-27 0.013753 0.019649 0.028392 0.042805 0.067010 0.108114 0.188297
2025-08-03 0.013290 0.019156 0.027955 0.042651 0.067728 0.111121 0.197784
2025-08-10 0.012834 0.018655 0.027478 0.042400 0.068252 0.113801 0.206859
2025-08-17 0.012441 0.018233 0.027105 0.042299 0.069019 0.116959 0.217173
2025-08-24 0.011957 0.017648 0.026447 0.041679 0.068823 0.118304 0.223862
2025-08-31 0.011462 0.017028 0.025705 0.040878 0.068249 0.118885 0.228975
2025-09-07 0.011078 0.016570 0.025209 0.040474 0.068369 0.120792 0.237113